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The socioeconomic returns to citizenship: A randomized controlled trial
Jens Hainmueller1,2, Elisa Cascardi2, Michael Hotard2
1Department of Political Science, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305.
Summary
Citizenship does not appear to boost economic or integration outcomes for immigrants. However, obtaining citizenship significantly reduces fears of deportation, highlighting a key non-economic benefit.
Area of Science:
- Socioeconomic impacts of immigration
- Public policy and immigrant integration
- Randomized controlled trials in social science
Background:
- Conventional wisdom and observational studies suggest citizenship confers economic advantages.
- Immigrant naturalization is a key aspect of integration.
- Selection bias may confound observational findings on citizenship benefits.
Purpose of the Study:
- To experimentally evaluate the economic and noneconomic impacts of U.S. citizenship acquisition.
- To assess the effect of naturalization on immigrant integration and financial well-being.
- To address the potential for selection bias in prior research.
Main Methods:
- A randomized controlled trial (RCT) in New York offered fee vouchers for naturalization to eligible permanent residents.
- Voucher recipients experienced a 36 percentage point increase in naturalization rates.
- Economic outcomes (income, credit, employment) and a multidimensional integration index were measured.
Main Results:
- No statistically significant effects of citizenship on income, credit scores, access to credit, financial distress, or employment were found.
- Citizenship did not measurably improve scores on a multidimensional immigrant integration index.
- Citizenship significantly reduced immigrants' fears of deportation.
Conclusions:
- Randomized access to citizenship does not yield expected economic or integration benefits, challenging prior observational findings.
- Positive selection into citizenship, observed in the study, suggests observational research may overstate benefits due to self-selection.
- Reducing deportation fears is a significant, albeit noneconomic, benefit of citizenship.
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