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Reliable uncertainty quantification for 2D/3D anatomical landmark localization using multi-output conformal

Jef Jonkers1, Frank Coopman2, Luc Duchateau2

  • 1Department of Electronics and Information Systems, IDLab, Ghent University, Belgium.

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|January 31, 2026
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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

This study introduces conformal prediction for reliable uncertainty quantification in anatomical landmark localization. Novel methods generate flexible prediction regions, outperforming existing approaches for trustworthy clinical decision support.

Keywords:
Conformal predictionLandmark localizationMulti-output conformal predictionPrediction regionUncertainty quantification

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Area of Science:

  • Medical Imaging
  • Machine Learning
  • Uncertainty Quantification

Background:

  • Accurate anatomical landmark localization in medical imaging needs reliable uncertainty quantification for clinical decisions.
  • Current methods often underestimate uncertainty, especially with normality assumptions.

Purpose of the Study:

  • Introduce conformal prediction for robust uncertainty quantification in anatomical landmark localization.
  • Address limitations of existing uncertainty estimation techniques in medical imaging.

Main Methods:

  • Developed two novel multi-output conformal prediction methods: multi-output regression-as-classification conformal prediction (M-R2CCP) and multi-output regression to classification conformal prediction set to region (M-R2C2R).
  • These methods guarantee finite-sample validity and produce flexible, non-convex prediction regions.

Main Results:

  • Empirical evaluations on 2D and 3D datasets show superior performance compared to existing multi-output conformal prediction approaches.
  • Demonstrated improved validity and efficiency in uncertainty estimation for landmark localization.

Conclusions:

  • The proposed conformal prediction framework offers significant advancements in reliable uncertainty estimation for anatomical landmark localization.
  • Provides clinicians with trustworthy confidence measures, with potential for broader multi-output regression applications.