Assessing the causal association between obstructive sleep apnea and the risk of atrial fibrillation

Guo-Cui Wei1, Qian Zhao1, Qian-Lan Chen1

  • 1Department of Pharmacy, Personalized Drug Therapy Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Sichuan Academy of Medical Sciences and Sichuan Provincial People's Hospital, School of Medicine, University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, Chengdu, China.

Medicine
|February 3, 2026
PubMed

Insights

This study used Mendelian randomization to investigate the causal link between obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) and atrial fibrillation (AF). Findings suggest a causal relationship, supporting screening for AF in OSA patients.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Genetics
  • Sleep Medicine

Background:

  • Atrial fibrillation (AF) and obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) are frequently comorbid conditions.
  • Existing research is largely observational, limiting definitive conclusions about causality.
  • A causal link between OSA and AF requires further investigation using robust methodologies.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess the causal relationship between obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) and atrial fibrillation (AF).
  • To utilize Mendelian randomization (MR) and meta-analysis for a detailed causal inference.
  • To clarify the etiological connection between these two prevalent conditions.

Main Methods:

  • Performed de novo 2-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis on six genome-wide association studies (GWAS) datasets.
  • Conducted a series of validity analyses to ensure the reliability of MR findings.
  • Performed a meta-analysis of inverse-variance weighted results from all MR analyses to determine the overall causal effect.

Main Results:

  • Initial GWAS data provided conflicting evidence regarding a causal link between OSA and AF.
  • After excluding potentially false-positive results, meta-analysis revealed a statistically significant causal relationship between OSA and AF (OR = 1.0030, P < 0.01).
  • The identified causal effect indicates a small but significant increased risk of AF associated with OSA.

Conclusions:

  • This study provides robust evidence supporting a causal relationship between obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) and atrial fibrillation (AF).
  • Clinical efforts should focus on screening OSA patients for AF and understanding its implications.
  • OSA may represent a modifiable risk factor for atrial fibrillation, warranting therapeutic interventions.

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