Spatiotemporal aggregation and population distribution characteristics of HIV/AIDS in Nanchang city: A monitoring analysis from 2012-2021

  • 0Nanchang Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Nanchang, China.

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Summary

This summary is machine-generated.

HIV/AIDS cases in Nanchang grew faster than the population between 2012-2021. Men and the elderly face higher infection risks, with cases clustering in urban centers.

Area Of Science

  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health
  • Geographic Information Systems

Background

  • AIDS remains a significant global public health concern.
  • Nanchang's status as a central China hub facilitates population mobility, necessitating local HIV/AIDS prevalence studies.
  • Unbalanced regional development in Nanchang may influence disease spread.

Purpose Of The Study

  • To analyze the epidemiological characteristics of HIV/AIDS in Nanchang from 2012 to 2021.
  • To identify high-risk populations and spatial-temporal patterns of HIV/AIDS.
  • To provide data for targeted HIV/AIDS prevention and control strategies.

Main Methods

  • Utilized HIV/AIDS surveillance data from Nanchang (2012-2021).
  • Integrated Joinpoint regression model with spatiotemporal GIS technology.
  • Developed a "time-space-population" epidemiological analysis framework.

Main Results

  • Reported 3,789 HIV/AIDS cases over the decade.
  • New case growth rate (5.4%) outpaced population growth (2.1%).
  • Identified a negative correlation between incidence and mortality.
  • Men and individuals aged 65+ showed prominent infection risk.
  • Observed significant spatial heterogeneity with "high-high" clusters expanding from the city center, linked to population density.

Conclusions

  • HIV/AIDS incidence in Nanchang is increasing at an alarming rate.
  • Targeted interventions for men and the elderly are crucial.
  • Spatial-temporal analysis highlights the need for geographically tailored prevention and control strategies.
  • Regional collaboration is essential for effective HIV/AIDS management.

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