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Rethinking structural safety for a volatile century
Gang Xu1, Tong Guo1, Ai-Qun Li1
1Key Laboratory of Concrete and Prestressed Concrete Structures of the Ministry of Education, Southeast University, Nanjing 211189, China.
Abstract:
Most structural design frameworks remain rooted in outdated assumptions: that hazards occur in isolation, materials do not degrade, and failure can be prevented through overdesign. In an era marked by accelerating climate volatility, cascading disasters, and mounting carbon constraints, such logic is increasingly untenable. From earthquake-flood sequences to heat-induced corrosion and permafrost collapse, modern infrastructure faces compound and evolving risks that current codes fail to anticipate. At the same time, conventional approaches often achieve safety through carbon-intensive construction, exacerbating the very environmental crises they must endure. This rethinking aligns with emerging paradigms in resilience engineering, disaster risk reduction, and adaptive infrastructure design, which similarly emphasize systems thinking, robustness, and long-term functionality under uncertainty. We argue for a fundamental redefinition of structural safety-one that prioritizes resilience over resistance, adaptability over rigidity, and sustainability over excess. This requires innovative tools (AI-driven diagnostics, lifecycle modeling frameworks), new materials (durable, repairable, low-carbon-footprint systems), and quantifiable metrics (recovery duration, embodied carbon emissions, residual functionality assessment). Structural engineers must now lead as strategists of climate-ready, socially responsive infrastructure. The goal of the next generation of design is not merely to ensure that structures survive,but that they serve, recover, and regenerate in a volatile century.
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