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Using Off-Treatment Sequential Multiple Imputation for Binary Outcomes to Address Intercurrent Events Handled by a
Sunita Rehal1, Nicky Best1, Sarah Watts1
1GlaxoSmithKline, London, UK.
Pharmaceutical Statistics
|February 7, 2026
Summary
The estimand framework guides handling intercurrent events, favoring the treatment policy strategy. A simple retrieved dropout model is pragmatic for binary endpoints, but requires substantial post-event data for reliable estimation.
Area of Science:
- Biostatistics
- Clinical Trials Methodology
- Pharmaceutical Research
Background:
- The estimand framework offers strategies for intercurrent events in clinical trials.
- The treatment policy strategy aligns with the intention-to-treat principle.
- Handling missing data due to patient withdrawal is crucial for accurate estimation.
Purpose of the Study:
- To explore and compare retrieved dropout models for estimating treatment effects with binary endpoints under a treatment policy strategy.
- To assess the performance of these models via simulation and a practical example.
- To identify the most pragmatic retrieved dropout model for handling intercurrent events like treatment discontinuation.
Main Methods:
- Investigated various retrieved dropout models for imputing missing post-intercurrent event data.
- Compared proposed models against a simple imputation model using a simulation study.
- Applied and evaluated models using Phase 3 clinical trial data for rheumatoid arthritis.
Main Results:
- A simple retrieved dropout model with an intercurrent event indicator proved most pragmatic.
- The model's effectiveness is contingent on having at least 50% of observed post-intercurrent event data.
- Model suitability depends on the availability of observed data post-intercurrent event.
Conclusions:
- Retrieved dropout models offer a viable approach for estimating treatment effects with binary outcomes and intercurrent events.
- The pragmatic choice requires sufficient observed data post-intercurrent event for reliable imputation.
- Careful consideration of data availability is essential before implementing these models in clinical trials.
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