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Medication Level Variability During First Year After Pediatric Kidney Transplantation
Lidan Gu1, Finola Kane-Grade1, Michael Evans2
1Division of Clinical Behavioral Neuroscience, Department of Pediatrics, University of Minnesota Medical School, Minneapolis, Minnesota, USA.
Pediatric Transplantation
|February 10, 2026
Summary
Tacrolimus level variability, measured by MLVI and IPV, is linked to graft failure risk in pediatric kidney transplants. Early and late variability, especially IPV in the first 3 months, predicts dnDSA development.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Immunology
- Pharmacology
Background:
- Tacrolimus (TAC) level variability, assessed by Medication Level Variability Index (MLVI) and intrapatient variability (IPV), may impact graft outcomes in solid organ transplant recipients.
- Optimal methods, timing, and thresholds for measuring TAC variability in pediatric kidney transplant recipients (peds KTRs) are not well-defined.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the association between TAC variability (MLVI and IPV) and graft outcomes in peds KTRs.
- To identify optimal time intervals for assessing TAC variability and its predictive value for graft failure and de novo donor-specific antibody (dnDSA) development.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 149 peds KTRs on maintenance TAC immunosuppression.
- MLVI and IPV calculated across three intervals: 2-week to 3-month, 3- to 6-month, and 6- to 12-month post-transplant.
- Landmark survival analysis and survival trees used to assess associations and identify thresholds, adjusting for covariates.
Main Results:
- Both MLVI and IPV during the 2-week to 3-month and 6- to 12-month intervals were significantly associated with increased risk of graft failure.
- IPV during the 2-week to 3-month interval was significantly associated with de novo donor-specific antibody (dnDSA) development.
- Neither MLVI nor IPV predicted acute rejection; no significant associations were found for the 3- to 6-month interval.
Conclusions:
- Tacrolimus variability, both MLVI and IPV, during early (0-3 months) and later (6-12 months) post-transplant periods is linked to graft failure risk in pediatric kidney transplant recipients.
- Intrapatient variability (IPV) in the first 3 months is specifically associated with de novo donor-specific antibody development.
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