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Published on: November 28, 2016
Association of C-reactive protein/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio with stroke in Chinese adults across
Wei Huang1,2, Jun Gu3, Xueli Sun1,2
1Health Management Center, Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital Affiliated to Yangzhou University, Yangzhou, China.
Insights
The C-reactive protein/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (CHR) is linked to higher stroke risk in Chinese adults, particularly in those with normal glucose regulation. This composite biomarker shows limited predictive ability but may aid in risk stratification.
Area of Science:
- Cardiovascular epidemiology
- Biomarker research
- Public health
Background:
- Stroke poses a significant public health challenge in China.
- Novel biomarkers are needed for effective stroke risk stratification.
- The C-reactive protein/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (CHR) integrates inflammation and lipid markers.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between CHR and incident stroke risk in Chinese adults.
- To explore potential heterogeneity in this association based on glycemic status.
- To assess the predictive performance of CHR for stroke.
Main Methods:
- Longitudinal analysis of 10,484 Chinese adults (aged ≥45 years) from the CHARLS dataset (2011-2020).
- Cox regression models were used to assess incident stroke risk.
- Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and Restricted Cubic Splines (RCS) evaluated predictive performance and non-linearity.
Main Results:
- A cumulative stroke incidence of 9.19% was observed over 9 years.
- Higher CHR was associated with increased stroke risk in prediabetes and diabetes, but not normal glucose regulation (NGR).
- Non-linear, J-shaped associations were noted in NGR, with stronger risk in younger individuals (<60 years) and the highest CHR quartile.
- CHR showed low discriminative ability for stroke prediction (AUC 0.572).
Conclusions:
- Elevated CHR is associated with increased stroke risk in Chinese adults, with varying strength across glycemic statuses.
- The association is stronger and non-linear (J-shaped) in individuals with normal glucose regulation compared to those with diabetes.
- CHR's utility appears to be in risk stratification rather than standalone stroke prediction.
Background:
Stroke is a leading public health burden in China, highlighting the need for accessible biomarkers to support risk stratification. The C-reactive protein/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (CHR), integrating inflammatory and lipid pathways, has emerged as a novel composite biomarker, yet its association with stroke across different clinical subgroups, particularly in the Chinese population with varying glycemic status, remains inadequately explored.
Methods:
The analysis was conducted using the longitudinal observation dataset (five waves) of the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), collected from 2011 to 2020. It included 10,484 community-dwelling adults aged ≥ 45 years. Incident stroke risk was modeled with Cox regression. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) assessed predictive performance, and Restricted Cubic Splines (RCS) examined non-linearity.
Results:
The cumulative incidence of stroke over the 9-year observation period was 9.19%, accounting for a total of 963 cases. In fully adjusted analyses, CHR per IQR increase was weakly associated with higher stroke risk in prediabetes (HR 1.06, 95% CI 1.00-1.13) and diabetes, but not in normal glucose regulation (NGR). Compared with Q1, Q4 showed higher risk in NGR (HR 1.94, 95%CI 1.36-2.77) and in prediabetes (HR 1.40, 95%CI 1.02-1.93); in NGR, a stronger association was observed in those aged < 60 years (Q4 vs. Q1: HR 2.77, 95% CI 1.61-4.76). RCS suggested non-linear associations, with a pattern consistent with a J-shaped curve in NGR and weaker nonlinearity in prediabetes. Sensitivity analyses yielded broadly consistent patterns, particularly for the elevated risk in the highest CHR quartile in NGR. Discrimination was low for CHR in predicting stroke based on ROC analysis (AUC 0.572; 95% CI 0.533-0.598).
Conclusions:
Higher CHR was associated with an increased risk of stroke in Chinese adults, with heterogeneity across glycemic status, showing stronger and nonlinear (J-shaped) associations in NGR than in diabetes. CHR demonstrated limited discriminative ability for stroke, suggesting its utility may lie in risk stratification rather than standalone prediction.
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