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Challenges of energy transition in China's power system and its emission reduction impacts
Wenhan Xi1,2, Jingxu Wang1,2, Bingqi Xu1,2
1State Key Laboratory of Physical Oceanography and Frontier Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System (FDOMES), Ocean University of China, Qingdao 266100, China.
Abstract:
China must accelerate its power system energy transition to meet the 14th and 15th Five-Year Plan targets. Our study reveals that, based on the trend during the 13th Five-Year Plan period, transitioning to wind and solar power would have greater challenges by 2030 compared to other energy sources, with southwest China, other regions, and old industrial base facing the most pressure. Under the enhanced policy scenario, the transition from 2023 to 2030 could reduce emissions of SO2, NOx, PM10, and PM2.5 by 49.3%, 34.6%, 37.8%, and 37.9%, respectively. Southwest China would lead in SO2 reduction, while eastern coastal area would significantly mitigate NOx emissions. For reductions in PM10 and PM2.5, the dominant contribution comes from eastern coastal area and energy-rich area. Our study underscores that a power system transition pathway tailored to regional conditions is essential.
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