Predicting Chemotherapy-Related Symptom Deterioration Using Hybrid Deep Learning Architecture
Joseph Finkelstein1, Aref Smiley1, Christina Echeverria2
1Department of Biomedical Informatics, The University of Utah, SLC, UT, USA.
Abstract:
Predicting symptom escalation in chemotherapy patients is essential for proactive intervention and improved clinical outcomes. This study leverages hybrid deep learning architectures, specifically Convolutional Neural Networks with Long Short-Term Memory (CNN-LSTM), to forecast the progression of 12 self-reported symptoms, categorized into physical (e.g., nausea, fatigue, pain) and mental (e.g., anxiety, cognitive impairment, mood changes) groups. The dataset consists of daily self-reported symptom logs from individuals undergoing chemotherapy. Given the high class imbalance-where 84% of cases showed no escalation-symptom data were aggregated into intervals of 3 to 7 days to improve predictive performance and temporal resolution. The CNN-LSTM model combines convolutional layers for extracting patterns within a local time window with LSTM layers for capturing long-term temporal dependencies. The model was trained using five-fold cross-validation to ensure robustgeneralization. Results indicate that 5-day intervals yielded the highest predictive accuracy for physical symptom prediction, with the CNN-LSTM model achieving an accuracy of 83%, precision of 89%, recall of 86%, F1-score of 88%, and an AUCof 83%. These findings highlight the effectiveness of hybrid deep learning architectures in symptom monitoring and early detection, enabling AI-driven decision support for real-time clinical interventions. Integrating these models into digital health systems could facilitate continuous symptom tracking, enhance predictive accuracy, and improve the quality of care for chemotherapy patients.
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