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T-periodic dynamics in a 3D delayed quasispecies model
Nolbert Morales1, Edward A Turner2, Jorge L Zapata3
1Facultad de Ingeniería, Universidad San Sebastián, Puerto Montt, Chile.
None:
We study periodic dynamics and error-threshold behavior in a delayed quasispecies model consisting of a master sequence and two mutant populations . The system, formulated as delay differential equations with time-periodic replication rates, yields new conditions for the existence and absence of -periodic solutions. Using topological degree arguments, we show that when mutation probabilities lie strictly between 0 and 1 and at least one fitness function is periodic, the system supports nontrivial positive periodic orbits, with or without backward mutations. This shows that fluctuating environments, such as circadian or treatment-induced cycles, can sustain oscillatory genotype distributions. Conversely, if mutations are strictly unidirectional and the master sequence is consistently dominated in fitness, no positive -periodic orbit arises. In this regime, the master sequence decays monotonically to extinction without time delays, while time delays induce non-monotonic decay, recovering the classical error-threshold phenomenon and linking it to cancer-related quasispecies dynamics.
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