The Predictive Value of Extracellular Volume Fraction Derived from Enhanced CT Combined with Systemic...

IntroductionTo explore the value of enhanced computed tomography (CT) -derived extracellular volume (ECV) combined with systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) in predicting tumor budding (TB) grading of rectal cancer.Materials and MethodsThe clinical and imaging data of 177 rectal cancer patients were retrospectively analyzed, and we divided them into a low-grade and medium-high group according to pathological TB count. ECV and SII values between the two groups were compared. Intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC) was used to detect the consistency of measurements among observers. Binary logistic regression was used to analyze the correlations between variables and TB grading of rectal cancer. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed to evaluate the diagnostic efficiency of statistically significant parameters and their combination. Area under the curve (AUC), its 95% confidence interval, and the corresponding Youden index, sensitivity, and specificity were calculated.ResultsAmong the 177 rectal cancer patients, 108 were low-grade and 69 were medium-high grade. ECV values measured by two physicians showed good consistency (ICC = 0.98). ECV value of low-grade (21.76% ± 4.89%) was lower than that of medium-high grade TB group (27.91% ± 4.77%) (P < .001). SII value was lower in low-grade group (492.14 ± 239.56) than in medium-high grade TB group (825.02 ± 529.38). In the multivariate analysis, ECV value [odds ratio (OR): 1.339 (95% CI: 1.194-1.502)] and SII value [OR: 1.004 (95% CI: 1.002-1.005)] were independent risk factors for predicting TB grading. In the training set, AUCs of ECV, SII, and their combination in evaluating TB grading of rectal cancer were 0.838 (95% CI: 0.760-0.905), 0.755 (95% CI: 0.663-0.829), and 0.889 (95% CI: 0.832-0.943), respectively. In the test set, the corresponding AUCs were 0.741 (95% CI: 0.626-0.870), 0.716 (95% CI: 0.554-0.849), and 0.815 (95% CI: 0.711-0.913). Decision curve analysis (DCA) showed that the combination had higher clinical value than using ECV or SII alone.ConclusionThe combination of ECV and SII can non-invasively evaluate TB grading of rectal cancer before surgery, potentially providing a reference for preoperative risk stratification as a decision-support tool.