Using big data to search for possible geographic clustering of Congenital Heart Disease (CHD) across Australia

Calum Nicholson1,2,3, Geoff Strange1,2,3, David S Celermajer1,2,3

  • 1University of Sydney, Camperdown, New South Wales, Australia.

PLOS Digital Health
|February 26, 2026
PubMed

Insights

Geographic analysis of Congenital Heart Disease (CHD) in Australia reveals its distribution mirrors the general population. This suggests spatial clusters are unlikely to stem from genetic or environmental factors.

Area of Science:

  • Cardiology
  • Epidemiology
  • Geographic Health Analysis

Background:

  • The causes of Congenital Heart Disease (CHD) are not fully understood.
  • Previous geographic analyses of CHD have lacked large, national datasets.
  • Understanding disease distribution can offer insights into genetic and environmental influences.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the geographic distribution of structural Congenital Heart Disease (CHD) cases in Australia.
  • To determine if CHD distribution correlates with the general Australian population.
  • To assess the likelihood of spatially driven genetic or environmental causes for CHD.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from the Australia and New Zealand CHD Registry for individuals with structural CHD.
  • Geocoded addresses of living individuals by linking with the National Death Index.
  • Aggregated CHD case data to standardized geographic regions and compared with Australian population data, considering remoteness and hospital proximity.

Main Results:

  • Analyzed 63,863 geocoded individuals with structural CHD out of 81,349 in the registry.
  • Found that the geographic distribution of the CHD population closely follows the general Australian population.
  • Observed a strong positive correlation between Australian and CHD populations, with only 6% of areas showing proportional differences.

Conclusions:

  • The geographic distribution of Congenital Heart Disease (CHD) proportionally mirrors the general Australian population.
  • Evidence suggests that CHD spatial clustering is unlikely to be driven by specific genetic or environmental factors.
  • Further research may explore other etiological factors beyond geographic distribution.