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Modelling cultural responses to disease spread in Neolithic Trypillia mega-settlements
R Alexander Bentley1,2, Simon Carrignon3, Bisserka Gaydarska4
1Department of Anthropology, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN37996, USA.
Journal of the Royal Society, Interface
|February 26, 2026
Summary
Social distancing in early agricultural societies, like the Trypillia mega-settlements, likely offered protection against zoonotic diseases. This study used epidemiological models to show how reduced density and interaction lowered infection risk, influencing settlement patterns.
Area of Science:
- Archaeology
- Epidemiology
- Anthropology
Background:
- Zoonotic diseases emerged with early agriculture, posing risks in dense settlements.
- The Trypillia mega-settlements (after 4000 BC) experienced increased disease pressure in the Black Sea region.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the adaptive benefits of social distancing strategies in Trypillia mega-settlements.
- To explore the impact of disease on population density fluctuations before and after 3600 BCE.
Main Methods:
- Utilized susceptible-infected-recovered-susceptible (SIRS) epidemiological models.
- Applied models to clustered networks and a site plan of a Trypillia mega-settlement.
Main Results:
- Decreasing occupation density and inter-community interactions conferred adaptive benefits against disease.
- Identified critical thresholds in density and interaction frequency.
Conclusions:
- Disease was a significant factor shaping human settlement patterns during the late Neolithic.
- Social distancing strategies likely played a role in the survival and population dynamics of early agricultural communities.
Keywords:
ancient diseasecultural evolutionepidemiologysocial distancingsusceptible-infected-recovered-susceptibleMore Related Videos
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