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Feasibility of predicting vertical cephalometric angles from panoramic radiographs using deep learning.
Ali Ashkan1, Mohammad Behnaz2, Ali Rahbar Taramsari3
1Department of Orthodontics, School of Dentistry, Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, Hamadan, Iran.
International Orthodontics
|February 26, 2026
Summary
Artificial intelligence can predict vertical skeletal angles from panoramic radiographs (OPGs), aiding orthodontic diagnosis. While promising, deep learning models require further development to replace traditional cephalometric analysis.
Area of Science:
- Orthodontics
- Radiology
- Artificial Intelligence
Background:
- Early identification of vertical skeletal discrepancies is crucial for orthodontic diagnosis and treatment planning.
- Panoramic radiographs (OPGs) are more common than lateral cephalometric radiographs (LCRs).
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) to predict vertical skeletal angles using OPGs.
- To compare the performance of various deep learning models in estimating these angles.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective collection of 715 patient LCRs and OPGs.
- Training multiple convolutional neural network (CNN) architectures (EfficientNet-B3, DenseNet, ResNet, VGG) and ensemble averaging to predict Frankfort-mandibular plane angle (FMA), gonial angle, and Sum of Björk from OPGs.
- Performance evaluation using Mean Absolute Error (MAE), coefficient of determination (R²), and intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC).
Main Results:
- Ensemble averaging demonstrated the highest predictive accuracy with MAE values of 2.53°±0.08 for FMA, 3.16°±0.10 for gonial angle, and 3.04°±0.09 for Sum of Björk.
- High agreement was observed among different CNN architectures (P<0.001).
- Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (Grad-CAM) indicated that predictions focused on the gonial angle region, condylar area, and mandibular ramus.
Conclusions:
- Deep learning shows potential for estimating vertical skeletal measurements from OPGs.
- Current prediction errors indicate that AI cannot yet replace cephalometric analysis.
- Future improvements may involve larger datasets, geometry-aware models, and external validation to enhance predictive accuracy.
Keywords:
Artificial intelligenceDeep learningFrankfort–mandibular plane angleGonial anglePanoramic radiographySum of BjörkVertical skeletal pattern
