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Intrinsic capacity and its dynamic change associate with risk of cardiovascular disease: Evidence from multinational
Yanzhi Liu1, Jinxi Wang1, Xuemei Zhao1
1Heart Failure Center, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, National Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing 100037, China.
Insights
Maintaining intrinsic capacity (IC) is crucial for preventing cardiovascular disease (CVD) in aging populations. Higher IC and improvements in IC over time are linked to reduced CVD risk.
Area of Science:
- Gerontology
- Cardiology
- Public Health
Background:
- Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a primary cause of death and disability in older adults.
- Intrinsic capacity (IC) is an emerging metric for health outcomes, but longitudinal data is limited.
- This study examines baseline IC and its changes in relation to CVD across three large prospective cohorts.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between baseline intrinsic capacity (IC) and longitudinal changes in IC with the risk of incident cardiovascular disease (CVD).
- To analyze these associations across diverse populations in China, the United States, and England.
Main Methods:
- Utilized data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), Health and Retirement Study (HRS), and English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA).
- Calculated IC as a composite score of locomotion, cognition, psychological well-being, sensory function, and vitality.
- Assessed IC change via tertile transitions and longitudinal trajectories; incident CVD events were recorded and analyzed using Cox proportional hazards models.
Main Results:
- Higher baseline intrinsic capacity (IC) was consistently associated with a lower risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) across all three cohorts.
- Among individuals with low baseline IC, improving to higher tertiles of IC significantly reduced CVD risk.
- Compared to a stable high-IC trajectory, other trajectories, including declining IC, were associated with increased CVD risk.
Conclusions:
- Both baseline intrinsic capacity (IC) and its longitudinal changes are significant predictors of long-term cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk.
- Maintaining higher IC and experiencing favorable changes in IC demonstrate protective effects against CVD.
- Lower IC, declining IC tertiles, and adverse IC trajectories are associated with increased CVD risk in aging populations.
Background:
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is the leading cause of mortality and disability in aging populations. Intrinsic capacity (IC) is a novel measure related to health outcomes. However, most previous studies focused on baseline IC within individual cohorts. We investigated IC and its longitudinal changes in relation to CVD across three prospective cohorts.
Methods:
Participants (over 45 years) were from China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), Health and Retirement Study (HRS), and English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA). IC was calculated as a composite score of locomotion, cognition, psychological well-being, sensory function, and vitality. IC change was assessed as tertile transition over four years and as longitudinal trajectories based on latent class mixed model. Incident CVD included angina, myocardial infarction, arrhythmia, heart failure, and stroke. Cox proportional hazards models estimated hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs).
Results:
Analyses included 11,101, 6456, and 5761 participants from CHARLS, HRS, and ELSA for baseline IC; 7144, 4754, and 3979 for change-patterns; and 5428, 4754, and 2703 for trajectories. Higher IC was associated with lower CVD risk in all cohorts (CHARLS: HR 0.97, 95 % CI 0.97-0.98; HRS: HR 0.97, 95 % CI 0.96-0.97; ELSA: HR 0.98, 95 % CI 0.97-0.99). Among participants with low baseline IC, improvement to higher tertiles reduced risk. Compared with stable high-IC trajectory group, other groups showed higher risk.
Conclusions:
Baseline IC, tertile change patterns, and trajectories are consistently associated with long-term CVD risk across nations. Lower IC, declining tertiles, and adverse trajectories increase risk, whereas higher IC and favorable changes are protective.
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