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Published on: February 23, 2014
Clinical Predictors of Prolonged Hospitalization in Children with Community-Acquired Pneumonia
Nasser S Alharbi1,2, Fahad Alsohime1,2, Waleed Abdulla Alharthi3
1Department of Pediatrics, College of Medicine, King Saud University, Riyadh 11451, Saudi Arabia.
Insights
Severe community-acquired pneumonia, complications, and chronic conditions predict prolonged hospital stays in children. Identifying these risk factors can improve pediatric pneumonia patient outcomes and reduce healthcare costs.
Area of Science:
- Pediatrics
- Infectious Diseases
- Public Health
Background:
- Community-acquired pneumonia (CAP) is a leading cause of pediatric hospitalization worldwide.
- Prolonged hospital stays for CAP contribute significantly to healthcare costs and resource utilization.
- Predictors of extended hospitalization in pediatric CAP require further elucidation to optimize patient management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify key demographic and clinical predictors of prolonged hospitalization in children diagnosed with community-acquired pneumonia.
- To compare characteristics between pediatric patients with expected versus extended hospital stays for pneumonia.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study of pediatric patients (<15 years) hospitalized with pneumonia (May 2015-March 2020).
- Exclusion of hospital-acquired pneumonia and patients with additional diagnoses.
- Logistic regression analysis to determine independent predictors of prolonged hospitalization.
Main Results:
- 27.5% of 455 pediatric pneumonia patients experienced prolonged hospitalization (median stay: 6 days).
- Significant independent predictors of prolonged stay included moderate-to-severe pneumonia (OR=9.7), pneumonia complications (OR=15.16), and underlying chronic conditions (OR=2.88).
- Hypoxia, ventilatory support, and bacteremia were associated but not independent predictors in the final model.
Conclusions:
- Pediatric community-acquired pneumonia patients with severe disease, complications, or chronic comorbidities are at higher risk for prolonged hospitalization.
- Early identification of high-risk pediatric patients is crucial for implementing targeted management strategies.
- Optimizing care for high-risk children can lead to improved outcomes and reduced healthcare burden.
Abstract:
Objectives: This study aimed to identify key predictors of prolonged hospitalization in children with community-acquired pneumonia by comparing demographic and clinical characteristics between patients with expected and extended hospital stays. Methods: A retrospective cohort study was conducted for children younger than 15 years hospitalized with pneumonia between May 2015 and March 2020. Patients with hospital-acquired pneumonia or additional diagnoses were excluded. Demographic and clinical variables were collected. Statistical analysis, including logistic regression, was performed using SPSS v28 to identify independent predictors of prolonged hospitalization. Results: A total of 455 pediatric patients were included, with a median age of 2 years and a median length of stay of 6 days. Prolonged hospitalization occurred in 27.5% (n = 125) of cases. Gender distribution did not differ significantly between groups (p = 0.727). Significant predictors of prolonged hospitalization included moderate-to-severe pneumonia (p < 0.001, OR = 9.7, 95% CI = 3.1-30.9), pneumonia complications (p = 0.019, OR = 15.16, 95% CI = 1.57-146.3), and underlying chronic conditions (p = 0.009, OR = 2.88, 95% CI = 1.3-6.4). While hypoxia, ventilatory support, and bacteremia were associated with prolonged stay, they did not emerge as independent predictors in the final multivariable model. Conclusion: Prolonged hospitalization in pediatric pneumonia is strongly associated with increased disease severity, complications, and chronic comorbidities. Early identification of high-risk patients may facilitate targeted management strategies, improve outcomes, and reduce healthcare burden.
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