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Exploring Factors Associated with Physical Exercise Participation Among Chinese Adults Based on Explainable Machine
Tianci Lu1, Baole Tao1, Hanwen Chen1
1College of Physical Education, Yangzhou University, Yangzhou 225127, China.
Behavioral Sciences (Basel, Switzerland)
|February 27, 2026
Summary
Regular physical exercise is low in China. Machine learning identified education, well-being, and environment as key factors promoting exercise participation among Chinese adults.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Behavioral Science
- Data Science
Background:
- Physical inactivity is a significant public health issue in China, with only 30.3% of adults engaging in regular exercise.
- Understanding factors influencing exercise participation is crucial for developing effective health promotion strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify key predictors of physical exercise participation in China.
- To explore social, psychological, and environmental factors influencing exercise behavior.
Main Methods:
- Utilized 2021 China General Social Survey (CGSS) data.
- Employed dimensionality reduction, machine learning (SVM), and SHAP interpretability analysis.
- Applied LassoCV for feature selection among 19 potential factors.
Main Results:
- Support Vector Machine (SVM) model demonstrated superior predictive accuracy.
- Key predictors identified: sports viewing, household registration, education, well-being, smoking, age, sleep quality, social activities, and residence suitability.
- Positive associations found with higher education, well-being, urban residency, sports viewing, and suitable residence; negative associations with smoking and poor sleep.
Conclusions:
- Machine learning combined with interpretability methods effectively identifies exercise behavior predictors.
- Findings offer novel insights into social, psychological, and environmental determinants of physical activity in China.
- Results can inform targeted interventions to boost exercise participation and improve public health.
