Multi-Year Phenotypic Assessment and Genetic Selection in Progeny Trials of Liriodendron Hybrids

The conservation and genetic improvement of rare and endangered tree species are crucial for sustainable forest management. Liriodendron chinense, a relict species with limited distribution in China, exhibits high cross-compatibility with Liriodendron tulipifera, providing opportunities for interspecific hybrid breeding. In this study, 29 Liriodendron hybrids were established in a progeny trial plantation in Fujian Province, China, and subjected to multi-year evaluation of tree height, diameter at breast height (DBH), and individual stem volume. Significant differences (p < 0.01) among hybrids and hybrid × replicate interactions were detected for all traits across all assessment years, with individual stem volume showing the highest phenotypic coefficient of variation (35.30-40.56%). The mean annual increment in tree height increased during the early years, peaking at 1.50 m in the fourth year. Broad-sense and narrow-sense heritabilities for growth traits were consistently high (0.4073-0.7253 and 0.3410-0.6501, respectively), and the ratio of narrow-sense to broad-sense heritability ranged from 0.64 to 0.99, supporting the feasibility of early hybrid and individual selection. At a 10% selection intensity, hybrids No. 39, No. 59, and No. 74 were identified as elite, with selection based on individual stem volume providing the highest predictive accuracy and genetic gain (26.54-34.69%). Individual selection at a 1% intensity yielded genetic gains of 95.55-107.12% for stem volume. These results demonstrate substantial potential for early and efficient genetic improvement in Liriodendron hybrids, providing a theoretical foundation for the selection and deployment of elite hybrids and individuals in subtropical forest plantations.