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AI-Driven Weather Data Superresolution via Data Fusion for Precision Agriculture.
Jiří Pihrt1, Petr Šimánek1, Miroslav Čepek1
1Faculty of Information Technology CTU in Prague, Thákurova 9, Praha 6, 160 00 Prague, Czech Republic.
Precision agriculture needs accurate weather data. This study developed a data fusion workflow to create high-resolution temperature fields, significantly improving accuracy over global weather models for better farm management.
Area of Science:
- Agricultural Meteorology
- Geospatial Data Science
- Machine Learning Applications
Background:
- Precision agriculture demands localized, high-resolution meteorological data, which current coarse-scale numerical weather prediction (NWP) models fail to provide.
- Microclimate variability significantly impacts crop yields and requires more granular weather information than operational NWP products offer.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and evaluate a data fusion superresolution workflow for generating high-resolution 2 m air temperature fields 24 hours ahead.
- To combine Global Forecast System (GFS) predictors, regional station data, and physiographic descriptors for improved temperature prediction.
Main Methods:
- A data fusion superresolution workflow integrating GFS (0.25°), Southern Moravia station data, and static physiographic descriptors (elevation, terrain gradients).
- Evaluation of multiple machine learning models (LightGBM, TabPFN, Transformer, Bayesian neural fields) using spatiotemporal cross-validation.
- Implementation of a KNN interpolation layer in the physiographic feature space for spatial mapping.
Main Results:
- All evaluated models demonstrated a reduction in mean absolute error (MAE) compared to raw GFS predictors.
- The TabPFN-KNN model achieved the lowest MAE of 1.26 °C in the operational regime (unseen stations and future periods).
- This represents an approximate 24% improvement over the GFS baseline (MAE of 1.66 °C).
Conclusions:
- The proposed data fusion superresolution workflow is feasible for operational deployment in agricultural landscapes.
- The approach is compatible with existing sensor infrastructure, enabling high-resolution temperature forecasting.
- This advancement supports more accurate, localized weather information crucial for precision agriculture.
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