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Climate models exaggerate greenhouse gas impact on recent interhemispheric temperature patterns and tropical climate

Chengfei He1,2,3, Amy C Clement4, Mark A Cane5

  • 1Department of Marine and Environmental Sciences, Marine Science Center, Northeastern University, Nahant, MA, USA. ch.he@northeastern.edu.

Nature Communications
|February 27, 2026
PubMed
Summary

Climate models inaccurately predict the interhemispheric thermal contrast trend. Aerosols, not just greenhouse gases, drive observed trends, suggesting less pronounced future tropical rain belt shifts.

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