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Types identification, patterns characterize and pathway optimization of synergistic development between urbanization
Yushu Qin1,2, Hongtao Li3,4
1School of Economics, Guangxi Minzu University, Nanning, 530006, China.
None:
Against the backdrop of China's carbon peaking and neutrality goals, the way urban agglomerations coordinate rapid urbanization with pollution control has direct implications for energy use and the low-carbon transition. Yet evidence at the urban-agglomeration scale remains limited: synergy is often reduced to an overall score or coarse category, within-agglomeration spatiotemporal patterns are rarely integrated, and policy implications stay generic because outcomes are seldom linked to subsystem-level drivers. To address these gaps, this study examines nineteen major urban agglomerations in China and develops a unified evaluation and diagnostic framework that supports comparable city-level type identification, agglomeration-scale spatiotemporal mapping, and subsystem-based explanation of coupling outcomes. Using a consistent indicator system, we first apply the entropy-TOPSIS method to measure city-level urbanization and pollution control, then construct a coupling-coordination typology and track the spatiotemporal evolution of coordination types within and across agglomerations. We further decompose subsystem influences to identify binding constraints and derive agglomeration-specific optimization directions. The results show that: (1) most cities are concentrated in medium-level development patterns, with clear within-agglomeration heterogeneity and core-periphery gradients; (2) coupling coordination improves over time but remains generally weak, with progress concentrated in core cities and slow diffusion to surrounding cities, so maladjustment persists widely; and (3) coordination outcomes are constrained by asymmetric subsystem influences, meaning that at least one subsystem in most agglomerations persistently acts as a bottleneck. Overall, the study provides a reproducible basis for diagnosing where and why synergy remains weak and for designing differentiated, subsystem-targeted pathways to support greener and lower-carbon development in China's urban agglomerations.
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