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Artificial intelligence in preterm birth prediction: a narrative review of current approaches and clinical
1Division of Maternal Fetal Medicine, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, MizMedi Hospital, Seoul, Korea.
Insights
Artificial intelligence (AI) shows promise for predicting preterm birth, a leading cause of infant mortality. However, current AI models require significant methodological improvements and external validation before widespread clinical use.
Area of Science:
- Obstetrics and Gynecology
- Medical Informatics
- Neonatal Health
Background:
- Preterm birth is a major global health challenge, causing significant neonatal morbidity and mortality.
- Existing clinical prediction methods lack accuracy for individual risk stratification.
- Artificial intelligence (AI) offers potential advancements in predicting spontaneous preterm births.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review current AI applications for preterm birth prediction.
- To evaluate the methodological quality and clinical applicability of AI models.
- To identify areas for improvement in AI-based preterm birth prediction.
Main Methods:
- Systematic literature search of PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science.
- Analysis of AI approaches including EHR-based models, deep learning for ultrasound, radiomics, elastography, and multi-omics.
- Evaluation of study quality using PROBAST criteria and reporting adherence with TRIPOD guidelines.
Main Results:
- AI models demonstrated a wide range of predictive performance (AUC 0.61-0.94).
- Significant methodological limitations were identified, with 79% of studies having a high risk of bias.
- Inadequate sample sizes, lack of external validation, and poor reporting (median TRIPOD adherence 49%) were common deficiencies.
Conclusions:
- AI holds potential for improving preterm birth prediction accuracy.
- Substantial improvements in methodological rigor, including external validation and adherence to reporting standards, are crucial.
- Prospective evaluation of clinical utility is necessary before widespread implementation of AI tools.
Abstract:
Preterm birth remains the leading cause of neonatal morbidity and mortality worldwide, affecting approximately 13.4 million births annually. Despite advances in our understanding of risk factors, current clinical prediction methods have demonstrated limited accuracy in individual risk stratification. This narrative review examines the current landscape of artificial intelligence (AI) applications for preterm birth prediction and evaluates the methodological quality and clinical applicability across different data modalities. PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science were searched to develop and validate machine learning models for predicting spontaneous preterm births. AI approaches include electronic health record-based models, deep learning for ultrasound image analysis, cervical texture and radiomics feature extraction, elastography-derived parameters, and multi-omics integration using transformer architectures. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values range from 0.61 to 0.89 across modalities. However, the systematic reviews identified significant methodological limitations; 79% of the studies had a high risk of bias according to the prediction model risk-of-bias assessment tool criteria, with a median transparent reporting of multivariable prediction model for individual prognosis or diagnosis (TRIPOD) adherence of only 49%. Common deficiencies include inadequate sample sizes, a lack of external validation, and failure to report calibration metrics. Although AI-based prediction shows promise, substantial improvements in methodological rigor are required before clinical implementation. Priority areas include rigorous external validation, adherence to TRIPOD+AI reporting standards, and prospective evaluation of clinical utility.
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