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Area of Science:

  • Digital Forensics
  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Computer Vision

Background:

  • Deepfake technology poses significant challenges to digital media identification.
  • Existing methods struggle to keep pace with rapid advancements in deepfake generation.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and evaluate a robust score-based likelihood ratio system for forensic identification of deepfake images.
  • To address the limitations of current deepfake detection techniques in forensic contexts.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized the FaceForensics++ dataset with video-level splits to prevent data leakage.
  • Evaluated six candidate models, identifying the Capsule detector as the most robust.
  • Employed kernel density estimation for score distribution modeling and optimized bandwidths.
  • Applied empirical bounds and Pool Adjacent Violators (PAV) calibration for likelihood ratio optimization.

Main Results:

  • The Capsule detector achieved an Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.983 on the FF++ test set.
  • The system demonstrated low misleading evidence rates (RMEP=0.069, RMED=0.092) and good error control (EER=0.0804).
  • Generalization tests on unseen datasets showed variable performance (AUCs 0.621-0.783), with the highest on UADFV.

Conclusions:

  • The proposed likelihood ratio system shows potential for forensic deepfake identification.
  • Further validation across diverse real-world scenarios is necessary before practical forensic application.