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Reliable Multi-Class Mental Health Prediction Using a WiSARD Discriminator Model on Imbalanced Data.

Muhammad Binsawad1

  • 1Department of Information Systems, Faculty of Computing and Information Technology, King Abdulaziz University, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia.

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Summary

This study introduces the WiSARD classifier for accurate multi-class mental disorder prediction, outperforming other models in identifying conditions like depression and anxiety, even with imbalanced data.

Keywords:
RAM-based learningWiSARD classifierclinical decision supportimbalanced datamachine learningmental disorder predictionmulti-class classificationpsychological diagnosis

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Area of Science:

  • Computational psychiatry
  • Machine learning for healthcare

Background:

  • Machine learning (ML) is crucial for mental disorder prediction, aiding early screening and personalized care.
  • Challenges include high dimensionality, class imbalance, and subtle psychological features in multi-class classification.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To introduce and evaluate an interpretable, RAM-based WiSARD classifier for multi-disorder mental health prediction.
  • To compare WiSARD's performance against established ML models on a public dataset.

Main Methods:

  • A retrospective study used the Kaggle Mental Disorders Dataset (637 complete cases, 29 features).
  • WiSARD was tested using 10-fold stratified cross-validation against Multilayer Perceptron, Naïve Bayes, DTNB, IB1, and A1DE.
  • Performance metrics included precision, recall, F-measure, accuracy, MCC, MAE, and KS.

Main Results:

  • WiSARD achieved superior performance with 98.27% accuracy, 0.983 F-measure, 0.982 MCC, and 0.981 KS.
  • WiSARD demonstrated better tolerance for misclassifications in minority classes, addressing data imbalance.
  • An ablation study confirmed WiSARD's reliability and interpretability via RAM-based pattern recognition.

Conclusions:

  • WiSARD is a promising, interpretable model for multi-class mental disorder prediction, particularly in imbalanced datasets.
  • Findings are limited to a single non-clinical dataset with self-reported data and require formal psychiatric validation.