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The double-edged effect of environmental fluctuations on evolutionary rescue
Shota Shibasaki1, Masato Yamamichi1,2,3,4
1Center for Frontier Research, National Institute of Genetics, Mishima, Japan.
Evolution; International Journal of Organic Evolution
|March 6, 2026
Summary
Environmental fluctuations have complex effects on evolutionary rescue. While large fluctuations can initially slow adaptation, they may ultimately promote evolutionary rescue by increasing trait variance in deteriorating environments.
Area of Science:
- Ecology
- Evolutionary Biology
- Environmental Science
Background:
- Contemporary evolution can prevent extinction in changing environments.
- Evolutionary rescue is crucial for species survival.
- Environmental fluctuations are increasing due to global changes.
Purpose of the Study:
- Investigate the impact of environmental fluctuations on evolutionary rescue.
- Understand how varying fluctuation amplitudes affect adaptation.
- Explore the mechanisms behind environmental fluctuations' effects on evolutionary rescue.
Main Methods:
- Conducted evolution experiments using green algae (Chlorella vulgaris).
- Manipulated salinity levels to simulate deteriorating environmental trends with varying fluctuation amplitudes.
- Utilized mathematical modeling to analyze population dynamics and trait variance.
Main Results:
- Increasing fluctuation amplitude around a deteriorating trend initially slowed algal growth.
- At higher stress levels (1M NaCl), populations with large fluctuations survived, while those with small or no fluctuations did not.
- Mathematical models suggested increased trait variance under large fluctuations promotes adaptive evolution.
Conclusions:
- Environmental fluctuations have a dual role in evolutionary rescue, with both negative and positive impacts.
- Large fluctuations can enhance adaptive evolution by increasing population trait variance.
- Further research is needed to fully understand evolutionary rescue dynamics in natural fluctuating environments.
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