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Published on: July 3, 2016
North American ice sheet persistence into past interglacials should inform future projections
Roger C Creel1,2, Robert E Kopp3, Andrea Dutton4
1Department of Geology & Geophysics, Texas A&M University, College Station, TX, USA. roger.creel@tamu.edu.
Future sea level rise depends on the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS). New evidence suggests the North American ice sheet complex (NAIS) persisted longer than thought, potentially underestimating AIS warming sensitivity and future sea-level projections.
Area of Science:
- Paleoceanography
- Climate Science
- Glaciology
Background:
- Future sea level rise is closely linked to the Antarctic Ice Sheet's (AIS) response to global warming.
- Current projections often assume the North American ice sheet complex (NAIS) disappeared before past interglacial sea-level high stands.
Purpose of the Study:
- To challenge the assumption of NAIS disappearance before past interglacial sea-level peaks.
- To investigate the impact of NAIS persistence on Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) sensitivity.
- To improve the accuracy of climate and sea-level rise projections.
Main Methods:
- Synthesis of evidence from paleoceanography.
- Integration of data from allied scientific disciplines.
Main Results:
- Evidence indicates the NAIS persisted into some of the warmest interglacial periods of the last million years.
- Overlooking NAIS persistence may lead to an underestimation of AIS sensitivity to warming.
Conclusions:
- The persistence of the NAIS during past interglacials necessitates a re-evaluation of AIS behavior.
- This paradigm shift is crucial for refining climate models and enhancing confidence in sea-level rise predictions.
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