Estimating the Potential Supply of Newly Trained Data Scientists for Government Public Health Employment

In 2024, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the Council of State and Territorial Epidemiologists suggested approaches, including upskilling and recruitment/hiring, to strengthen the workforce capacity in public health data science. We estimated the number of recently graduated data scientists who might be eligible for and potentially hirable into government public health jobs as a step toward filling data gaps in workforce planning.

We used data from the National Center for Education Statistics to calculate the number of data science graduates in 2023. As a proxy for interest in government public health among graduates, we used data from the Association of Schools and Programs of Public Health (graduation years 2015-2022). We multiplied the number of data science graduates from US academic institutions (from National Center for Education Statistics data) by the percentage of public health graduates who entered government public health employment (from Association of Schools and Programs of Public Health data) to estimate the number of data science graduates who might be eligible for and interested in government public health employment.

In 2023, 467 435 graduates were awarded a data science degree from a US institution. Depending on the government employment criteria, 8.3% to 15.7% of 96 578 public health graduates reported first-destination employment in government public health. The total number of data science graduates who might be eligible for and interested in government public health employment ranged from nearly 29 000 to >57 000.

These data contribute to the evidence base for public health workforce planning but are likely to be overestimates of supply. If the estimated supply of data scientists falls short of demand projections, staff data science upskilling and changes to academic curricula could be emphasized.