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Understanding Responsible Development in AI-Based Clinical Prediction Models for Mortality: Protocol for a Scoping

Riley Martens1, Jessalyn K Holodinsky1,2,3,4, Jessica Simon1,5,6

  • 1Department of Community Health Sciences, Cumming School of Medicine, University of Calgary, 3280 Hospital Dr NW, Calgary, AB, T2N 5A1, Canada, 1 (403) 220 6940.

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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

Artificial intelligence-based clinical prediction models (AIPMs) can improve mortality prognostication but risk worsening health inequities. This review synthesizes literature on AIPM development and application to promote responsible innovation in healthcare.

Keywords:
AIRRIartificial intelligenceknowledge synthesismachine ethicsmortality predictionpatient engagementresponsible developmentresponsible research and innovationsociotechnical

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Area of Science:

  • Medical Informatics
  • Artificial Intelligence in Healthcare
  • Clinical Decision Support

Background:

  • Prognostic inequity creates barriers to end-of-life care for underrepresented groups.
  • Artificial intelligence-based clinical prediction models (AIPMs) offer potential for accessible mortality prognostication but may exacerbate existing health inequities due to biased data and opacity.
  • Ethical considerations are crucial for the responsible development and deployment of AIPMs.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To synthesize peer-reviewed literature on the creation and application of AIPMs for mortality prognostication in adult acute care settings.
  • To provide insights into responsible and ethical model development for AIPMs.
  • To identify key elements in the development of AIPMs for mortality prediction.

Main Methods:

  • A transdisciplinary search strategy across multiple academic databases (Medline, Embase, IEEE Xplore, ACM Digital Library, Compendex, Scopus) was employed.
  • Literature screening involved two rounds (titles/abstracts, then full texts) with specific eligibility criteria.
  • Data analysis will utilize descriptive, summary, and qualitative synthesis informed by the responsible research and innovation (RRI) framework.

Main Results:

  • The literature search was completed on March 25, 2025, with screening initiated in May 2025.
  • Results are anticipated by January 2026.
  • This review will detail the specific elements included in the development of AIPMs for mortality prediction.

Conclusions:

  • This review will offer a comprehensive summary of AIPMs for mortality prediction.
  • The study will analyze AIPM development through the lens of the responsible research and innovation (RRI) framework, focusing on anticipation, reflexivity, inclusion, and responsiveness.
  • Emphasis will be placed on interdisciplinary collaboration, computational and clinical ethics, and stakeholder engagement for responsible innovation.