Transformative capacity of social-ecological systems.

Area of Science:

• Social-ecological systems analysis
• Sustainability science
• Environmental governance

Background:

• The Anthropocene presents complex, non-linear global changes.
• Current human responses focus on mitigation and adaptation, but transformation is sometimes necessary.
• Transforming social-ecological systems (SESs) is inherently risky and unpredictable.

Purpose of the Study:

• To define transformative capacity within the context of SESs.
• To identify and elaborate on the core attributes of transformative capacity.
• To provide a foundation for operationalizing transformative capacity for future-oriented stewardship.

Main Methods:

• Conceptual definition and elaboration of transformative capacity.
• Identification of three core attributes: memory, diversity, and novelty.
• Discussion of attribute dynamics, cross-scale interactions, risk, and power.

Main Results:

• Transformative capacity is defined as the potential for intentional system shifts to desirable, novel states.
• Memory, diversity, and novelty are identified as core attributes influencing transformative capacity.
• The interplay of these attributes, including their relationship to risk and power, is explored.

Conclusions:

• Defining transformative capacity is crucial for imagining and actualizing necessary system changes.
• Understanding its attributes aids in navigating uncertainty and reducing negative surprises.
• Operationalizing transformative capacity supports the stewardship of SESs towards more desirable futures.