Risk and cause of overdose death after exposure to dispensed opioid analgesics

Overdose deaths have been increasing in parts of Europe, including Norway, where opioid analgesics have been the leading cause since 2016. This study quantifies the risk of overdose death following exposure to dispensed opioid analgesics, stratified by sex and age, and examines associated causes of death.

Nationwide data from 2010 to 2018 on overdose deaths were obtained from the Norwegian Cause of Death Registry and linked with the Norwegian Prescription Database to identify prior opioid analgesic dispensations. Aggregated prescription data and population figures from Statistics Norway were also used.

From 2010 to 2018, 42% of individuals who died from an overdose had been dispensed opioid analgesics in the previous year. Among those dispensed strong opioid analgesics, the overdose death rate was low but exceeded the population death rate among men aged 20-49 and women aged 20-39 years. The rate was higher in men and remained stable over time. Opioids other than heroin or methadone were listed as the cause of death in 62% of cases with prior dispensed opioid analgesics, compared with 24% among those without.

The risk of overdose deaths following exposure to strong opioid analgesics was low but higher than population death rates for men under 50 and women under 40 years. Preventive strategies based on risk markers such as sex, age and opioid analgesic strengths, combined with other known risk markers, can help guide safer prescription of opioid analgesics and reduce overdose death.