Thymic health and immunotherapy outcomes in patients with cancer

Although immunotherapy has revolutionized cancer treatment, many patients still experience limited benefit, highlighting the urgent need for improved biomarkers¹. Although immunotherapy is founded on unleashing T cells², most existing biomarkers remain tumour-centric and mainly overlook host immune competence. The thymus is a key immune organ that is crucial for T cell maturation, and we hypothesized that thymic functionality is associated with immunotherapy outcomes³. Here we show that thymic health, a radiographic measure of thymic functionality, is strongly associated with immunotherapy outcomes across several cancer types. Using a deep-learning framework applied to routine computed tomography images, we quantified thymic health in a pan-cancer cohort of 3,476 patients receiving immune checkpoint inhibitors. In patients with non-small cell lung cancer, higher thymic health was associated with reduced risks of progression and all-cause mortality. These associations remained significant across clinically relevant levels of programmed death ligand 1 (PD-L1) and tumour mutation burden. In the prospective TRACERx lung cancer study, thymic health was positively associated with T cell receptor diversity and T cell receptor excision circles, and correlated with immune-system signalling pathways, supporting radiographic thymic health as a proxy for thymic activity and adaptive immune competence. Analysis across patients with melanoma, breast cancer or renal cancer demonstrated pan-cancer relevance. Together, these findings identify thymic health as a previously unrecognized, tumour-agnostic determinant of immunotherapy efficacy, with potential implications for patient stratification, treatment timing and the development of immune-rejuvenating strategies in precision immuno-oncology.