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Role of Polygenic Risk Scores in Predicting Cognitive Functioning after Mild Traumatic Brain Injury: A TRACK-TBI
Lindsay D Nelson1, Mary U Simons1,2, Sonia Jain3
1Department of Neurosurgery, Medical College of Wisconsin, Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA.
Journal of Neurotrauma
|March 19, 2026
Summary
Polygenic risk scores (PRS) for education and intelligence may predict verbal memory after mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI). These genetic factors, along with educational attainment, contribute to cognitive reserve and recovery following brain injury.
Area of Science:
- Neuroscience
- Genetics
- Traumatic Brain Injury Research
Background:
- Mild traumatic brain injury (mTBI) commonly leads to cognitive deficits, including issues with processing speed, memory, and executive functions.
- Understanding genetic predispositions may offer insights into individual differences in cognitive outcomes post-mTBI.
- Polygenic risk scores (PRS) are emerging tools to assess genetic contributions to complex traits like cognition.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the prognostic value of four PRS for cognitive outcomes at 6 months following mTBI.
- To determine if PRS for educational attainment, intelligence, and Alzheimer's disease predict cognitive function after mTBI.
- To explore the role of cognitive reserve in mTBI recovery using genetic and educational factors.
Main Methods:
- A prospective study of 523 individuals of European descent treated for mTBI at a U.S. level 1 trauma center.
- Assessment of cognitive outcomes using z-scores relative to predicted pre-injury performance at 6 months post-mTBI.
- Analysis of four PRS: Education-PRS, Intelligence-PRS, AD-PRS (APOE), and AD + APOE-PRS, controlling for demographic and clinical factors.
Main Results:
- Education-PRS and Intelligence-PRS showed initial associations with all cognitive outcomes.
- After controlling for covariates, Education-PRS and Intelligence-PRS independently predicted verbal episodic memory.
- Associations with processing speed and executive functioning were largely mediated by educational attainment, suggesting a cognitive reserve effect.
Conclusions:
- PRS for education and intelligence offer modest predictive value for specific cognitive outcomes, particularly verbal memory, after mTBI.
- Educational attainment plays a significant role in mediating the effects of these PRS on cognitive recovery, supporting cognitive reserve theories.
- PRS may serve as a valuable, albeit small, addition to multivariable models for predicting cognitive function post-TBI.
Keywords:
cognitive reserveeducationgeneticsneuropsychological outcomepolygenic risk scoreprotective factorstraumatic brain injury
