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Quantifying Multi-pollutant Co-exposure via Deep Learning-Based Simultaneous Prediction Using Geostationary Satellite
Eunjin Kang1, Sihun Jung1, Jungho Im1,2,3
1Department of Civil, Urban, Earth, and Environmental Engineering, Ulsan National Institute of Science and Technology (UNIST), Ulsan 44919, Republic of Korea.
Abstract:
Simultaneous prediction of multiple air pollutants is essential for quantifying human co-exposure and evaluating the health impacts of pollutant mixtures. However, spatial and temporal gaps in geostationary satellite observations, chemical transport models, and ground-based monitoring networks hinder accurate hourly assessments of multi-pollutant dynamics. Here, we present Deep Learning for Multiple Air Pollutant analysis (DeepMAP), a deep learning framework that simultaneously predicts six major air pollutants─PM10, PM2.5, O3, NO2, CO, and SO2─at hourly resolution. DeepMAP demonstrated robust performance across multiple pollutants and generalized well to unseen regions. The framework accurately captured dynamic high-concentration co-pollution episodes during March 2021, with normalized RMSE values below 0.36 for all pollutants. DeepMAP revealed that PM10-PM2.5 co-exceedance was the most frequent across East Asia (91 days/year), followed by PM10-PM2.5-NO2 (42), PM2.5-O3 (18), and PM10-PM2.5-O3 (12). Hotspots for PM10-PM2.5-NO2-O3 co-exceedance were identified over the North China Plain, East China, and South Korea, where the regional annual totals reached 24, 19, and 15 days, respectively. A novel co-exposure index further identified three distinct hotspot regions where the contribution of NO2 was approximately twice that observed elsewhere. Our findings provide a high-resolution, data-driven framework for characterizing multi-pollutant co-exposure and identifying regional priorities for air quality management and public health protection.