Diagnostic Decision-Making in Intermediate-Risk Pediatric Appendicitis: A Prospective Cohort Study
Mohamed Zouari1,2, Manel Belhajmansour1,2, Manar Hbaieb1,2
1Research Laboratory "Developmental and Induced Diseases" (LR19ES12), Faculty of Medicine of Sfax, University of Sfax, Sfax, Tunisia.
Insights
Diagnosing appendicitis in children with intermediate scores is challenging. Ultrasound is key, accurately ruling out appendicitis and guiding treatment decisions for pediatric patients.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric emergency medicine
- Diagnostic imaging in pediatrics
- Surgical decision support
Background:
- Diagnosing acute appendicitis in children with intermediate Pediatric Appendicitis Score (PAS) values presents a significant clinical challenge.
- Conflicting information from clinical findings, labs, and imaging creates diagnostic uncertainty in this gray zone.
- Identifying predictive factors for true appendicitis in this pediatric subgroup is crucial for effective management.
Purpose of the Study:
- To identify predictive factors for true appendicitis in children with intermediate PAS scores (4-6).
- To evaluate the diagnostic performance of ultrasound in this specific pediatric population.
- To improve diagnostic accuracy and guide management strategies for suspected appendicitis in children.
Main Methods:
- Prospective observational study of children aged 2-14 years with suspected appendicitis and PAS of 4-6.
- Inclusion criteria: suspected appendicitis, PAS 4-6, tertiary referral center.
- Data collection from January 2022 to October 2025.
Main Results:
- 559 children included; 51.7% had true appendicitis.
- Strongest predictors: positive ultrasound (OR 55.1), localized RLQ tenderness (OR 2.98), WBC > 15x10^9/L (OR 2.53), male sex (OR 1.99).
- Ultrasound showed 94% sensitivity, 93% NPV, 88% accuracy.
Conclusions:
- Ultrasound is central to diagnosing appendicitis in children with intermediate PAS scores.
- Ultrasound's high negative predictive value supports safe observation for negative cases.
- Positive ultrasound findings guide timely surgical intervention, improving pediatric appendicitis management.
Background:
Diagnosing acute appendicitis in children with intermediate Pediatric Appendicitis Score (PAS) values remains a major clinical challenge. In this diagnostic gray zone, clinical findings, laboratory markers, and imaging often provide conflicting information, leading to uncertainty and variable management strategies. The aim of this study was to identify predictive factors of true appendicitis in children presenting with suspected appendicitis and intermediate PAS scores.
Methods:
We conducted a prospective observational study including children aged 2-14 years presenting with suspected appendicitis and a PAS of 4-6 at a tertiary referral center between January 2022 and October 2025.
Results:
Among 559 included children, 289 (51.7%) had true appendicitis. The mean age was 9.4 ± 2.5 years, and males accounted for 58.1% of the cohort. On multivariable analysis, positive ultrasound was the strongest independent predictor of appendicitis (OR 55.1; 95% CI 29.4-103.2; p < 0.001), followed by localized right lower quadrant tenderness (OR 2.98; p = 0.003), white blood cell count > 15 × 109/L (OR 2.53; p = 0.003), and male sex (OR 1.99; p = 0.015). Ultrasound demonstrated excellent diagnostic performance, with a sensitivity of 94%, a negative predictive value of 93%, and an overall accuracy of 88%.
Conclusion:
In children with intermediate PAS scores, ultrasound plays a central role in diagnostic decision-making. Its strong rule-out value allows meaningful risk reclassification, supporting safe observation while guiding timely surgical intervention when positive.
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