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Published on: May 10, 2013
Discrepancy between cystatin C-based and creatinine-based eGFR predicts all-cause mortality in a community-based
Takaya Suzuki1, Kazunobu Ichikawa1, Natsuko Suzuki2,3
1Department of Cardiology, Pulmonology, and Nephrology, Yamagata University School of Medicine, Yamagata, Japan.
Insights
The difference between cystatin C-based and creatinine-based kidney function estimates predicts all-cause mortality in Japanese adults. This eGFR difference is a simple marker for identifying individuals at higher risk of death.
Area of Science:
- Nephrology
- Epidemiology
- Gerontology
Background:
- Discrepancies between cystatin C-eGFR (eGFRcys) and creatinine-eGFR (eGFRcr) are linked to adverse outcomes in Western populations.
- Prognostic significance of eGFR discrepancies in community-dwelling Japanese individuals is not well understood.
Purpose of the Study:
- To evaluate the association between eGFR discrepancies and mortality in a Japanese cohort.
- To determine if eGFRdiff is an independent predictor of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.
Main Methods:
- Prospective cohort study of 1308 Japanese participants with simultaneous eGFRcys and eGFRcr measurements.
- Categorization of eGFR discrepancy (eGFRdiff = eGFRcys - eGFRcr) into low (< -10), reference (-10 to 10), and high (≥ 10) groups.
- Assessment of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality using survival analyses over a median follow-up of 18.5 years.
Main Results:
- A total of 386 deaths (29.5%) occurred, including 120 cardiovascular deaths.
- The low eGFRdiff group (< -10) showed significantly higher all-cause mortality (HR: 1.41; 95% CI: 1.10-1.80).
- The high eGFRdiff group (≥ 10) showed a lower risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 0.56; 95% CI: 0.33-0.97).
- eGFRdiff improved discrimination for both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality when added to baseline models.
Conclusions:
- eGFR discrepancy is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in community-dwelling Japanese individuals.
- eGFRdiff serves as a simple and informative marker for identifying individuals at increased risk of death.
- Further research may explore the clinical utility of eGFRdiff in risk stratification.
Background:
Discrepancies between the cystatin C-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcys) and the creatinine-based estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFRcr) have been linked to adverse outcomes in Western populations. However, their prognostic significance in community-dwelling Japanese individuals remains unclear. Therefore, we conducted a prospective cohort study to evaluate this association.
Methods:
We analyzed data from 1308 participants who underwent simultaneous measurements of serum creatinine and cystatin C levels between 2004 and 2006, with a median follow-up of 18.5 years. The discrepancy (eGFRdiff = eGFRcys - eGFRcr) was categorized into three groups: a low group (< - 10 mL/min/1.73 m2), a reference group (- 10 to 10 mL/min/1.73 m2), and a high group (≥ 10 mL/min/1.73 m2). All-cause and cardiovascular mortality were assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves, Cox proportional hazards models, and restricted cubic spline analyses.
Results:
During the follow-up period, 386 participants (29.5%) died, including 120 cardiovascular-related deaths. Compared with the reference group, individuals in the eGFRdiff < - 10 group exhibited a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.41; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.10-1.80), whereas those in the ≥ 10 group showed a lower risk (HR: 0.56; 95% CI: 0.33-0.97). No significant association was observed with cardiovascular mortality. Incorporating eGFRdiff into the baseline models improved discrimination for both all-cause and cardiovascular mortality.
Conclusion:
The discrepancy between eGFRcys and eGFRcr levels is an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in a community-based Japanese population. eGFRdiff may serve as a simple yet informative marker for identifying individuals at increased risk of death.
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