Human Genetic Analysis Reveals Circulating Alpha-1 Antitrypsin Level as a Protective Factor in Sepsis

Sepsis is a dysregulated host response to infection and a leading cause of global mortality, yet effective targeted therapies remain lacking. Here, we applied a proteogenomic framework integrating large-scale human genetics with circulating proteomics to identify therapeutic targets. In a meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies of 60,314 sepsis cases and 1,464,733 controls, we identified four genome-wide significant loci, including a missense variant in SERPINA1, encoding alpha-1 antitrypsin (AAT), that was also associated with 30-day sepsis mortality in the UK Biobank. Mendelian randomization (MR) and colocalization analyses supported a causal and protective effect of higher genetically predicted circulating AAT levels on sepsis risk. The protective association was highly specific to acute infectious phenotypes, including pneumonia, and was not observed for non-infectious traits. In two independent cohorts (UK Genomic Advances in Sepsis and the Biobanque Québécois sur la COVID-19), circulating AAT increased markedly during acute illness but was significantly attenuated among missense variant carriers in a dose-dependent manner, consistent with impaired protease-antiprotease balance. MR of the AAT-regulated proteome recapitulated findings from prior sepsis trials, both negative and positive, providing orthogonal genetic support for therapeutic modulation of this pathway. Together, these findings provide the first human genetic evidence for AAT's causal role in sepsis, positioning SERPINA1 as a high-priority candidate for drug repurposing and targeted therapeutic interventions.