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Related Experiment Video

Updated: Apr 5, 2026

Detection of Cell-Free DNA in Blood Plasma Samples of Cancer Patients
08:25

Detection of Cell-Free DNA in Blood Plasma Samples of Cancer Patients

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Early Lung Cancer Detection Using Nucleotide Transition Probabilities in Plasma Cell-Free DNA.

Jinwen Ji1, Ruyue Xue2, Xu Zhang2

  • 1The State Key Laboratory of Neurology and Oncology Drug Development, Jiangsu Simcere Diagnostics Co., Ltd., Nanjing, China.

Cancer Epidemiology, Biomarkers & Prevention : a Publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, Cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology
|April 3, 2026
PubMed
Summary

A new computational feature, First-Order Transition Probability (FOTP), improves early lung cancer detection using cell-free DNA (cfDNA) fragmentomics. This method enhances sensitivity for early-stage cancers, offering a scalable screening strategy.

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Area of Science:

  • Genomics
  • Computational Biology
  • Biomarker Discovery

Background:

  • Lung cancer is a leading cause of cancer death globally, necessitating improved early detection methods.
  • Current non-invasive plasma cell-free DNA (cfDNA) fragmentomics show limited sensitivity in early stages due to low tumor DNA fractions.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop a novel computational feature to enhance the sensitivity of cfDNA fragmentomics for early cancer detection.
  • To identify discriminative regions and nucleotide sequential dependencies within cfDNA fragments for improved cancer diagnosis.

Main Methods:

  • Development of the First-Order Transition Probability (FOTP) computational feature to analyze nucleotide sequential dependencies in cfDNA fragments.
  • Utilized low-pass whole genome sequencing data from 1,036 participants.
  • Trained a support vector machine (SVM) model using FOTP features on cfDNA fragment ends.

Main Results:

  • The initial 10 base pairs (bp) at the 5' end of cfDNA fragments provided the most discriminative information.
  • The SVM model achieved an AUC of 0.942, with 73.9% sensitivity for stage I and 81.8% for stage II lung cancer at 95% specificity.
  • The method demonstrated robustness across independent cohorts and multi-cancer validation sets, indicating potential for tissue-of-origin prediction.

Conclusions:

  • First-Order Transition Probability (FOTP) is a biologically interpretable and effective feature for early cancer detection.
  • This approach significantly enhances sensitivity for early-stage lung and other cancers by capturing key nucleotide dependencies.
  • The FOTP method presents a scalable and generalizable strategy for early cancer screening.