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Association Between Body Composition and Non-Contact Muscle Injury Risk in Elite Soccer Players: A Cox Proportional
Eduard Bezuglov1, Omid Etemad2, Georgiy Malyakin1,2
1Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University.
Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport
|April 3, 2026
Summary
Higher body fat percentage in elite soccer players showed a link to a greater risk of minor muscle injuries. No association was found for severe injuries, suggesting body composition may influence injury severity.
Area of Science:
- Sports Medicine
- Exercise Physiology
- Biomechanics
Background:
- Non-contact muscle injuries are a significant concern in elite soccer, impacting player availability and team performance.
- Understanding factors influencing injury risk, such as body composition, is crucial for developing targeted prevention strategies.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between body composition metrics and the risk of non-contact muscle injuries in elite male soccer players.
- To determine if specific body composition factors, like body fat percentage, correlate with different severities of muscle injuries.
Main Methods:
- A longitudinal study tracked 33 elite male outfield soccer players over three seasons, recording anthropometric data and non-contact muscle injuries.
- Time-varying Andersen-Gill Cox models were utilized to analyze the relationship between body composition and injury hazard, controlling for covariates.
- Injury severity was categorized, and discrimination was assessed using Harrell's C-index.
Main Results:
- A total of 54 non-contact muscle injuries were recorded across 23 players.
- A higher body fat percentage (per 1%-point) showed a positive association with the hazard of minimal/mild injuries (HR = 1.61).
- No significant association was observed between body fat percentage and all injuries combined or moderate/severe injuries.
Conclusions:
- In this cohort, elevated body fat percentage was associated with an increased risk of minor muscle injuries in elite soccer players.
- The findings suggest body composition may play a role in the likelihood of less severe muscle strains.
- Due to the observational design, results indicate association, not causation, and warrant cautious interpretation regarding residual confounding.

