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Development of a machine learning model to detect toddlers' physical activity and sedentary time using
Elyse Letts1, Sara King-Dowling2, Natascja Di Cristofaro1
1Child Health & Exercise Medicine Program, Department of Pediatrics, McMaster University, Canada.
Journal of Science and Medicine in Sport
|April 4, 2026
Summary
A new machine learning model accurately detects toddlers' physical activity (PA) and sedentary time (SED), outperforming existing methods. This advancement improves measurement of children's movement patterns.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric exercise science
- Biomedical engineering
- Machine learning applications in health
Background:
- Accelerometer-based physical activity (PA) and sedentary time (SED) detection methods face challenges with toddler movement patterns.
- Accurate measurement of PA and SED in toddlers is crucial for understanding health outcomes and developing interventions.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a novel machine learning (ML) model for detecting physical activity (PA) and sedentary time (SED) in toddlers.
- To compare the performance of the developed ML model against existing cut-point methods for analyzing toddler PA.
Main Methods:
- 111 toddlers (21±7 months) wore waist-worn accelerometers during two 1-hour visits.
- Video recordings provided ground truth for activity classification (SED, total PA (TPA), light PA (LPA), moderate-to-vigorous PA (MVPA), non-volitional movement (NVM)).
- Four gradient boosted tree ML models were trained using extracted accelerometer features and validated against existing methods.
Main Results:
- ML models achieved 82% (NVM/SED/TPA) and 74% (NVM/SED/LPA/MVPA) accuracy, with low mean absolute differences (3.0-3.2 min/h).
- Existing methods showed significantly lower accuracies (33-74%) and higher mean absolute differences (7.6-25.8 min/h) for TPA and MVPA estimation.
- The developed ML models demonstrated superior performance in classifying toddler movement patterns compared to traditional methods.
Conclusions:
- The novel ML models (NVM/SED/TPA and NVM/SED/LPA/MVPA) offer a significant improvement for measuring toddlers' physical activity and sedentary time.
- These models align with PA guidelines and the health links of MVPA, providing a more accurate assessment tool.
- An open-access, user-friendly interface for these ML models is provided, facilitating wider adoption and advancing research in pediatric PA measurement.

