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A Novel Simulation Framework for Evaluating and Optimizing Oncology Outreach Policies in a Regional Cancer System
Bruno T Scodari1, A James O'Malley1,2,3, Nirav S Kapadia2,3,4,5
1Department of Biomedical Data Science, Geisel School of Medicine at Dartmouth, Lebanon, NH, USA.
Optimizing oncology outreach through simulation can reduce patient travel time. Reallocating visits to satellite locations saved hours, improving cancer care delivery and supporting administrative decisions.
Area of Science:
- Healthcare Operations Research
- Health Services Research
Background:
- Oncology outreach addresses cancer workforce shortages by utilizing traveling oncologists.
- Current methods for evaluating and optimizing these outreach strategies are limited.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and apply a simulation framework for evaluating and optimizing oncology outreach strategies.
- To estimate patient travel time savings by reallocating visits from a central hub to satellite locations.
Main Methods:
- A simulation framework was developed to evaluate outreach strategies within a hub-and-spoke cancer system.
- Patient visits were sampled and assigned to oncologist/site pairs to estimate travel time differences between original and reallocated visit distributions.
- 5000 simulations were run to identify optimal reallocation percentages maximizing patient travel time savings.
Main Results:
- Simulation identified St. Johnsbury, VT, and Manchester, NH, as key sites for increased oncology outreach.
- Reallocating 45% of new medical oncology visits to St. Johnsbury saved 140 hours; reallocating 50% of radiation oncology visits to Manchester saved 55 hours.
- Patient travel time savings per shifted visit ranged from 1.07 to 1.13 hours.
Conclusions:
- Simulation modeling provides a robust method for assessing the effectiveness and uncertainty of oncology outreach strategies.
- This approach can support administrative decision-making and inform investments in outreach policies for health systems.
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