Climate-driven restructuring of sediment microbiomes and ecosystem functions in aquaculture systems

Aquaculture expansion is occurring under accelerating climatic pressure. Warming, marine heatwaves, deoxygenation, salinity fluctuation, and intensified nutrient loading act simultaneously in aquaculture sediments, altering redox gradients and substrate fluxes that structure microbial communities. These stressors strengthen deterministic environmental filtering, reorganize interaction networks toward reduced-state dominance, and redistribute functional investment within sediment microbiomes; the biogeochemical engines regulating nutrient cycling, water quality, and disease dynamics. Such restructuring is associated with altered nitrogen processing, modified greenhouse gas fluxes, sulfide accumulation, enhanced pathogen performance, and enrichment of antimicrobial resistance determinants, with direct implications for production stability and disease risk. Evidence is synthesized to integrate quantified environmental forcing, ecological assembly mechanisms, and molecular functional responses into a unified framework linking microbial restructuring to ecosystem performance and operational resilience. Structural and functional microbial indicators suitable for early detection of redox compression and functional destabilization are evaluated, alongside resilience-oriented strategies spanning ecological design, microbiome management, engineering control, and adaptive monitoring. Despite substantial empirical progress, major gaps remain in resolving compound-stressor interactions, temporal reversibility, cross-system threshold comparability, and predictive modeling of microbial assembly under multi-driver forcing. Addressing these gaps is essential for developing mechanistically grounded, climate-resilient aquaculture systems.