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Factors Associated With Rising Homelessness Within US States, 2019 to 2024.

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Eviction moratoria and climate-related damages significantly impacted homelessness rates in the US. Preventing evictions and addressing climate change are crucial for mitigating homelessness surges.

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Area of Science:

  • Public Health
  • Environmental Health
  • Sociology

Background:

  • Homelessness in the US has sharply increased, posing a significant threat to population health.
  • Factors driving year-over-year changes in homelessness remain poorly understood.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the factors associated with rising homelessness within US states from 2019 to 2024.
  • To analyze the relationship between state-level changes and the relative increase in homelessness counts.

Main Methods:

  • A longitudinal cohort study analyzed data from all 50 states and Washington, DC, from 2019 to 2024 (excluding 2021).
  • Data included US Department of Housing and Urban Development point-in-time homeless counts, state-level rents, unemployment, housing supports (eviction moratoria), substance use, immigration, and climate-related property damage.

Main Results:

  • Eviction moratoria and climate-related damages were consistently associated with changes in homelessness.
  • Each 1% increase in person-time covered by a moratorium correlated with a 0.36 pp decrease in homelessness increase (P=.01).
  • Each home-equivalent lost to climate events per 10,000 population correlated with a 1.00 pp increase in homelessness (P<.001).

Conclusions:

  • Eviction moratoria and climate-related damages are key factors influencing within-state homelessness fluctuations.
  • Policy interventions focused on eviction prevention and climate change mitigation are recommended to reduce homelessness surges.