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Exploring AI and ML in managing overlap between cardiovascular disease and asthma or COPD: a scoping review
Luigino Calzetta1, Mario Cazzola2, Elena Pistocchini2
1Unit of Respiratory Clinical Pharmacology, Department of Clinical Science and Translational Medicine, University of Rome "Tor Vergata", Rome, Italy.
Insights
Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) show promise for assessing cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). However, applications for asthma patients are scarce, highlighting a need for more research and clinical integration.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Pulmonology
- Medical Informatics
Background:
- Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a significant comorbidity in patients with asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).
- The role of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in managing CVD risk within these respiratory conditions is not well-defined.
Purpose of the Study:
- To conduct a scoping review of original studies utilizing AI/ML for CVD risk assessment and management in patients with asthma or COPD.
- To characterize the current landscape of AI/ML applications at the intersection of CVD and these respiratory diseases.
Main Methods:
- Systematic search for original full-text studies applying AI/ML to predict, phenotype, or support clinical decisions for CVD in asthma/COPD overlap.
- Analysis of eleven identified studies, categorizing AI/ML techniques and data sources.
Main Results:
- Most studies focused on COPD, using techniques like supervised learning and natural language processing, with COPD comorbidities being strong CVD predictors.
- AI/ML models demonstrated superior discrimination and calibration compared to traditional methods for COPD-CVD risk.
- Only one study addressed asthma, developing ML models for CVD risk prediction with good short-term results but lacking external validation.
Conclusions:
- AI/ML holds significant potential for improving CVD risk stratification and management in COPD patients.
- There is a critical need for large-scale, prospective AI/ML studies integrated into routine care for both asthma and COPD patients to enhance CVD detection and personalized management.
Abstract:
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major comorbidity in asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), yet the contribution of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) to CVD risk assessment and management in these conditions remains insufficiently characterized. This scoping review identified the main original full-text studies applying AI/ML to the overlap between CVD and asthma or COPD for prediction, phenotyping or clinical decision support. Among the eleven identified studies, only one specifically addressed asthma, developing ML-based CVD risk prediction models from electronic health records that achieved good short-term discrimination but lacked external validation. The remaining studies focused on COPD and CVD, employing supervised learning, deep-learning survival analysis, natural language processing, unsupervised clustering and AI-enabled clinical decision support. Across these investigations, COPD and related comorbidities consistently emerged as strong predictors of CVD events, mortality and adverse clinical trajectories. Unsupervised clustering revealed COPD-dominant heart failure phenotypes with particularly poor outcomes, while AI-derived risk models frequently provided superior discrimination and calibration compared with traditional statistical approaches. However, most studies were retrospective, largely reliant on structured data, limited in generalizability and rarely implemented in routine care. Overall, current evidence indicates substantial potential for AI/ML to enhance CVD risk stratification, phenotyping and management in COPD, whereas applications in asthma are strikingly scarce. These findings underscore a critical need for large-scale, prospectively evaluated and clinically integrated AI/ML strategies to improve detection, risk stratification and personalized management of CVD in patients with asthma or COPD.
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