A Health Systems Analysis of Global Head and Neck Cancer Outcomes

Head and neck cancer (HNC) remains a major global cause of cancer morbidity and mortality, with disproportionately poor outcomes in low- and middle-income countries. Substantial cross-national disparities suggest an important role for health system strengthening. We evaluated associations between national health system characteristics and global HNC outcomes.

We conducted a cross-sectional ecological analysis of 185 countries using sex-stratified, age-standardized incidence and mortality estimates from the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) GLOBOCAN 2022 database. The primary outcome was the composite mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) for aggregated HNCs, including cancers of the lip and oral cavity, oropharynx, larynx, nasopharynx, hypopharynx, and salivary gland. Eleven national health system indicators capturing health financing, workforce density, service availability, socioeconomic development, and gender equity were evaluated. Univariable linear regressions identified candidate variables using Bonferroni correction (p < 0.0045), followed by multivariable modeling with assessment for multicollinearity using variance inflation factors.

All 11 health system indicators were significantly associated with HNC MIR on univariable analysis (p < 0.001 for all). In multivariable analysis of 123 countries with complete data, higher Universal Health Coverage (UHC) service coverage index and higher gross domestic product (GDP) per capita were independently associated with lower (improved) HNC MIR (model R² = 0.70). Findings were consistent in sex-stratified analyses.

Across countries, progress toward universal health coverage and greater national economic capacity was independently associated with improved HNC outcomes. These findings may help to inform efforts at the level of health systems to improve HNC outcomes worldwide.

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