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Updated: Apr 8, 2026

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Published on: February 26, 2013
Standard Modifiable Cardiovascular Risk Factors and Prognostic Outcomes in Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation Patients
Linhao Liu1, Hangkuan Liu1, Pengfei Sun1
1Department of Cardiology, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin Medical University, Tianjin, China.
Higher burden of Standard Modifiable Cardiovascular Risk Factors (SMurfs) increases mortality risk in Asian patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) on oral anticoagulants. Managing these risk factors is crucial for improving prognosis in NVAF patients.
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Public Health
- Epidemiology
Background:
- Standard Modifiable Cardiovascular Risk Factors (SMurfs) are known to influence atrial fibrillation (AF).
- Limited data exist on the cumulative prognostic impact of SMurfs in Asian non-valvular AF (NVAF) patients on oral anticoagulants (OACs).
- This study addresses the gap by investigating the association between cumulative SMurf burden and outcomes in this specific patient population.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the association between the cumulative burden of SMurfs and the prognosis of Asian NVAF patients receiving OAC therapy.
- To assess the impact of SMurf burden on all-cause mortality and ischemic stroke risk in this cohort.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study utilizing data from the Tianjin Health and Medical Data Platform (THMDP) from 2015-2020.
- Included 20,782 NVAF patients on OACs, categorized by baseline SMurf count (0, 1-2, or 3-4: hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, smoking).
- Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyze outcomes, with subgroup and sensitivity analyses performed for robustness.
Main Results:
- A higher SMurf burden was significantly associated with increased all-cause mortality.
- Compared to the SMurf-less group, HRs for all-cause mortality were 1.20 (SMurfs 1-2) and 1.67 (SMurfs 3-4).
- The SMurf (3-4) group showed a significant increased risk for ischemic stroke (HR 1.44), with no significant association for the SMurf (1-2) group. A more pronounced association between SMurfs and mortality was observed in patients with eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m².
Conclusions:
- In Asian NVAF patients on OACs, a greater cumulative burden of SMurfs is linked to a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality and ischemic stroke.
- These findings underscore the importance of managing cardiovascular risk factors in NVAF patients receiving OACs to improve clinical outcomes.
- The study highlights a pronounced association in patients with reduced kidney function (eGFR < 60).
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