Association of dynamic blood pressure trajectory during pregnancy with adverse birth outcomes: a large prospective

Wubulitalifu Dawuti1, Jie Du2, Xiaoli Tian3

  • 1Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.

This study investigated the associations between dynamic blood pressure (BP) trajectories during pregnancy and adverse birth outcomes using data from the China-US Collaborative Project on Neural Tube Defect Prevention. Among 281,224 pregnant women (mean age 25.07 ± 3.57 years), group-based trajectory modeling (GBTM) identified three distinct systolic (SBP) and diastolic (DBP) BP patterns: "Low-stable", "Fast-increasing", and "High-stable". Compared to the Low-stable SBP group, women with Fast-increasing or High-stable SBP trajectories had significantly elevated risks of adverse outcomes, including an 16% higher risk of preterm birth (adjusted OR = 1.16, 95% CI:1.09-1.23) and 37% increased risk of low birth weight (LBW) (aOR=1.37,1.27-1.49) in the High-stable group. For DBP, the Fast-increasing trajectory showed the strongest associations, with a 19% higher preterm birth risk (aOR=1.19,1.11-1.26) and 63% increased LBW risk (aOR=1.63,1.51-1.76). Each 10 mmHg rise in SBP and DBP from mid-to-late pregnancy was independently linked to higher risks of preterm birth (SBP: aOR=1.10,1.06-1.12; DBP: aOR=1.16,1.13-1.20) and low birth weight (SBP: aOR=1.12,1.09-1.14; DBP: aOR=1.22,1.18-1.26). These findings highlight that dynamic BP changes during pregnancy are robust predictors of adverse birth outcomes, underscoring the importance of continuous BP monitoring for early risk identification and intervention.

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