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Impact of multimodal information on the estimation of fetal growth indicators using machine learning regression
Orlando Castellanos-Diaz1, Jorge Perez-Gonzalez2, Fernando Arambula Cosio2
1Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana Unidad Iztapalapa, Ciudad de México, Mexico.
Abstract:
Accurate estimation of fetal growth indicators such as birth weight, birth length, and gestational age at birth is essential for monitoring pregnancy outcomes and guiding clinical decisions. Traditional predictive models typically rely on ultrasound-based fetometric data to estimate fetal weight or length. While valuable, these models provide estimates only at the time of measurement, rather than predicting values at birth, and may overlook important clinical and sociodemographic factors that also influence fetal growth. This study aimed to evaluate whether incorporating echographic, clinical, and sociodemographic features could improve the accuracy of predicting fetal growth indicators at birth and to quantify the contribution of each variable. Data from 154 cases were collected and processed for model development (61.5% for training and 38.5% for testing), divided into three feature sets: fetometric, clinical-sociodemographic, and combined clinical, echographic, and sociodemographic data. Six regression models were developed to predict three fetal growth indicators: birth weight, birth length, and gestational age at birth. Model performances were assessed usingR2, mean absolute error (MAE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). The multimodal models significantly outperformed those relying only on fetometric or clinical-sociodemographic data, with the random forest achieving the best performance for birth weightR2: 0.8991; MAE: 255.08 g; MAPE: 8.46%, birth lengthR2: 0.8679; MAE: 7.21 cm; MAPE: 2.73%, and gestational age at birthR2: 0.8886; MAE: 1.34 d; MAPE: 2.76%. Feature relevance analysis revealed that variables such as maternal height, maternal weight, placenta location, and alcohol consumption played substantial roles in prediction accuracy, alongside classic fetometric measurements such as head circumference. These findings highlight the multifactorial nature of fetal growth and demonstrate that integrating clinical and sociodemographic information enhances the performance of fetal growth prediction models, ultimately supporting improved perinatal care.
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