Brain Health from Sleep EEG: A Multicohort, Deep Learning Biomarker for Cognition, Disease, and Mortality

Sleep underpins cognition, disease prevention, and overall brain health, yet objective, integrative biomarkers of brain health remain lacking. We hypothesized that overnight sleep electroencephalography (EEG) could provide a substrate for such a biomarker. We asked whether a newly developed, end-to-end, data-driven deep learning framework for sleep EEG can learn a latent representation of brain health and distill it into a single score relevant to cognition, disease status, and mortality.

We analyzed 36,000 polysomnography recordings from 27,000 subjects from six cohorts. EEG data were represented as one-dimensional time series or a two-dimensional time-frequency spectrogram. A multitask deep neural network, trained end-to-end without expert-defined features, learned a 1024-dimensional brain health latent space and jointly predicted cognitive performance, disease status, and sleep metrics. The latent representation was additionally distilled into a single brain health score. We compared performance with demographic baselines, conventional EEG metrics (e.g., rapid eye movement fraction, spindle density), and classic multivariate machine learning approaches.

The deep learning-derived brain health scores consistently surpassed demographic and expert-defined EEG feature models. For cognitive outcomes, correlations (r) rose from small (demographic-only) to moderate (up to r=0.40), while disease classification areas under the receiver operator curve improved from 0.50-0.55 at baseline to 0.65-0.75. In age-adjusted Cox models, a one-standard-deviation increase in the brain health score was associated with a 31%-35% reduced risk of mortality (hazard ratio 0.65 to 0.69; P<0.0001), topping conventional EEG metrics. Gains over classic machine learning, plus latent space visualization, indicated that both established physiological markers and novel EEG features drove enhanced performance.

A multitask, end-to-end deep learning approach generated an interpretable, sleep-derived brain health biomarker. By modeling cognition, disease, and mortality, this framework provides a robust index of brain health and may be extended to additional modalities, further enhancing its clinical utility. (Funded by the National Institutes of Health and others.).