PETIL: Predicting Expansion of Tumor Infiltrating Lymphocytes for the Adoptive Cell Immunotherapy in Bladder Cancers

Adoptive cell therapy (ACT) with tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL) is a form of personalized immunotherapy that requires ex vivo expansion of autologous TILs and their reinfusion back into the patient. Predicting TIL expansion at the time of diagnosis may improve selection of patients that can benefit from ACT-TIL. It can also prevent high treatment-related costs and delays in treatment of patients whose cancer specimens would not yield successful TIL growth. We developed PETIL, a machine-learning model optimized for data of a medium size to determine a minimal combination of features (demographic, clinical, and biological specimen-based) that is predictive of expansion of TILs from a resected bladder cancer. We used a retrospectively identified set of data from bladder cancer patients at Moffitt Cancer Center for the training and testing cohorts. Additionally, we used data from a recent feasibility clinical trial at Moffitt Cancer Center as a blinded validation cohort. PETIL uses random forest method to identify a combination of robust predictive features, support vector machine model to determine the optimal classification hyperparameters, and Matthews correlation coefficient method to adjust the decision-boundary threshold for imbalanced data. Our model yielded AUC=0.740 for the testing cohort and AUC=0.857 for blinded validation cohort. Thus, our PETIL model optimized for data of medium size has favorable performance metrics for predicting TIL expansion from a given tumor.